Philippines |
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Last reviewed: 12 October 2009 |
GDP: $ 168.6 billion
GDP Per Capita: $1,871
GNP per capita: $ 2,069
GDP per capita (adjusted for PPP): $3,546.2
Annual growth: GDP 4.6%, GNP 6.1%
Average rate of inflation: 9.3%
Major industries: Electronic components, Services (including call centres and business process outsourcing), Garments
Major trading partners: United States, Japan, European Union, China, Singapore, Taiwan, Hong Kong
Major investors: United States, Japan, Hong Kong, Singapore, European Union (particularly UK, Germany and Netherlands)
Exchange Rate: £1 = approx. PhP 79.8 (Aug 2009 – rates vary)
After growing at a 31-year high of 7.3% in 2007, the Philippine economy slowed in 2008 due to high oil and food prices in the first semester and the global financial crisis in the second semester. In 2008, annual GDP growth was 4.6%. For 2009, the government projected a 4.2% growth in GDP while independent forecasts predicted a more cautious 2.0 to 2.5% growth in 2009. Actual growth for the first semester is 1 percent.
The Philippines was relatively untouched by the initial financial crisis but has felt the impact of the resulting economic downturn. Exports fell 37% in the first quarter of 2009, primarily due to falling demand for electrical components, which make up 60% of exports. However trade is a relatively small component of overall GDP because of low value-added in electronics trade.
As a consumption-driven economy, the main concern in 2009 is a slowdown in remittances from Filipinos working overseas. Almost a quarter of the country’s labour force works abroad and remittances (about 11% of GDP) prop up the balance of payments and support consumption and investment growth, particularly in the booming real estate sector. Following several years of double digit growth for remittances, best-case scenario at the beginning of 2009 was zero-growth. However, first half data surprised at 2.9%. Main sources of remittances are US, Saudi Arabia, Canada, UK, Italy and UAE.Beyond the immediate crisis, the challenge for the government is to encourage foreign and domestic investment, which have remained stubbornly low, and translate growth into poverty reduction. Despite a sustained period of strong growth since 2004, poverty has actually increased in the Philippines. Unfortunately, the initial success of VAT and corporate tax reforms has not translated into a sustained growth in government revenues.
Infrastructure development
Power sector privatisation
Mining
Booming sectors e.g. BPO/IT outsourcing, tourism, finance
Tax revenue leakage
Slow infrastructure development
Opposition to mining investments
Slow privatisation
High birth rate
Political instability
World fuel and food prices